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A Bayesian Methodology for Systemic Risk Assessment in Financial Networks(3)
時間 2021-01-03
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4. 抽樣 如何使用MCMC算法(更準確地說,吉布斯採樣器)從負債矩陣的條件分佈中採樣,給定其行和列和 ( l , a ) (l,a) (l,a)和已知元素。然後,這些樣本可以插入到感興趣的函數中,以便進行系統風險評估,例如,計算出違約銀行數量的分佈情況或一家特定的銀行違約的概率。 在擴展層次模型的方法之前,考慮基本模型。 除了採樣器的理論推導外,還在在線支持文件第一節中提供了模擬研究,表明採樣器
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